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Democratic Senators and Candidates
Alabama:
-Attorney William Barnes
Alaska:
-unknown
Arizona:
-Tuscon City Councilman Rodney Glassman
Arkansas:
-Senator Blanche Lincoln
-Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter
California:
-Senator Barbara Boxer
Colorado:
-Senator Michael Bennet
-Former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut:
-Attorney General Richard Blumenthal
Delaware:
-New Castle County Executive Chris Coons
Florida:
-Congressman Kendrick Meek
-North Miami Mayor Kevin Burns
-Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre
Georgia:
-Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond
-Activist R.J. Hadley
Hawaii:
-Senator Daniel Inouye
Idaho:
-unknown
Illinois:
-Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias
Indiana:
-Congressman Brad Ellsworth
Iowa:
-Attorney Roxanne Conlin
-Former State Senator Tom Fiegen
-Former State Representative Bob Krause
Kansas:
-Retired newspaper editor Charles Schollenberger
Kentucky:
-Attorney General Jack Conway
Louisiana:
-Congressman Charlie Melancon
Maryland:
-Senator Barbara Mikulski
Missouri:
-Secretary of State Robin Carnahan
Nevada:
-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
New Hampshire:
-Congressman Paul Hodes
New York-A:
-Senator Chuck Schumer
New York-B:
-Senator Kirsten Gillibrand
North Carolina:
-Former State Senator Cal Cunningham
-Secretary of State Elaine Marshall
North Dakota:
-State Senator Tracy Potter
Ohio:
-Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher
Oklahoma:
-unknown
Oregon:
-Senator Ron Wyden
Pennsylvania:
-Congressman Joe Sestak
South Carolina:
-Charleston County Councilman Vic Rawl
South Dakota:
-unknown
Texas (if KBH resigns):
-Former Comptroller John Sharp
Utah:
-Liquor Control Commission Chair & Businessman Sam Granato
Vermont:
-Senator Patrick Leahy
Washington:
-Senator Patty Murray
Wisconsin:
-Senator Russ Feingold

Republican Retirements, Resignations & Passings
Sam Brownback (R-KS): Announced retirement, 12/18/08
Christopher "Kit" Bond (R-MO): Announced retirement, 1/8/09
George Voinovich (R-OH): Announced retirement, 1/12/09
Judd Gregg (R-NH): Announced retirement (we think), 2/12/09
Jim Bunning (R-KY): Announced retirement, 7/27/09
Mel Martinez (R-FL): Officially resigned, 9/9/09

Primary Challengers to GOP Incumbents
Arizona (John McCain):
-Former Congressman J.D. Hayworth
-Businessman Jim Deakin
Georgia (Johnny Isakson):
-Congressman Paul Broun (rumored)
Louisiana (David Vitter):
-Former State Senator James David Cain (considering)
-Retired Lieutenant General Russel Honore (rumored)
-Retired State Supreme Court Justice Chet Traylor (rumored)
North Carolina (Richard Burr):
-Asheville City Councilman Eddie Burks
Utah (Robert Bennett):
-Businesswoman Cherilyn Eagar
-Businessman James Williams
-Businessman Tim Bridgewater
-Former gubernatorial counsel Mike Lee
-Former Juab County Attorney (and gubernatorial brother) David Leavitt (rumored)

Primary Challengers to GOP Establishment-Anointed Candidates
Arkansas (John Boozman):
-State Senator Gilbert Baker
-Businessman Curtis Coleman
-State Senator Kim Hendren
-2004 Senate nominee Jim Holt
Colorado (Jane Norton):
-Weld County DA Ken Buck
-Businessman Cleve Tidwell
-Former State Senator Tom Wiens
Connecticut (Rob Simmons):
-Businesswoman Linda McMahon
-Economist Peter Schiff
-2004 Senate Nominee Jack Orchulli (considering)
Delaware (Mike Castle):
-2008 Senate nominee Christine O'Donnell
Missouri (Roy Blunt):
-State Senator Chuck Purgason
New Hampshire (Kelly Ayotte):
-1996 Gubernatorial Nominee Ovide Lamontagne
-Businessman Jim Bender
-Businessman William Binnie

Right-Leaning Candidates
Arizona:
-Insurance Consultant Rick Biondi (Libertarian)
-Business Consultant Ian Gilyeat (independent)
Arkansas:
-Veteran Trevor Drown (independent)
California:
-Activist Gail Lightfoot (Libertarian)
Colorado:
-Businessman Maclyn Stringer (Libertarian)
Florida:
-Professor Marshall DeRosa (Constitution)
-Veteran Alex Snitker (Libertarian)
-Conservative activist Bernie DeCastro
Georgia:
-Radio personality Eric Von Haessler (Libertarian)
-Pilot Chuck Donovan (Libertarian)
Kansas:
-Activist Joe Bellis (Reform)
Louisiana:
-Anthony Gentile (Libertarian)
-Vietnam veteran William Robert Lang (independent)
Missouri:
-Jerry Beck (Constitution)
-Jonathan Dine (Libertarian)
Nevada:
-Businessman Jon Ashjian (Tea Party)
-Conservative activist Jim Duensing (Libertarian)
-Veteran Jeff Durbin (independent)
New Hampshire:
-Businessman & veteran Ken Blevens (Libertarian)
New York-B:
-Activist Jacques Ditte (Conservative)
North Carolina:
-Business analyst Mike Beitler (Libertarian)
Ohio:
-Dr. Michael Pryce (Tea Party)
-Steve Linnabary (Libertarian)
-Electrical engineer Eric Deaton (independent)
Oregon:
-Marc Delphine (Libertarian)
Pennsylvania:
-Businessman Mike Yilit (independent)
Texas:
-Veteran Jon Roland (Libertarian)
Vermont:
-John LaPierre (independent)
Wisconsin:
-Cumberland Alderman Rob Taylor (Constitution)

Links
-Democratic National Committee
-Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
-Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
-DSCC's YouTube Page

-CQPolitics Balance of Power Scorecard (regularly updated)
-Swing State Project Competitive Senate Race Ratings (8/11/09)
-Cook Political Report Senate Race Ratings (7/30/09)
-Rothenberg Political Report 2010 Senate Ratings (7/27/09)
-Rasmussen Reports 2010 Election Polls
-Real Clear Politics' 2008 Senate Latest Polls
-Pollster.com 2008 Senate Elections
-National Journal 2008 Senate Race Rankings (7/23/08)
-Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Senate Sensibilities (6/19/08)

-The Hill
-Politico
-Roll Call

-2010 Senate Elections Wikipedia Page
-U.S. Senate Seat-Holders Chart, 1978-present
-Pollster.com
-Project Vote Smart
-An Inconvenient Truth
-Senator Chuck Schumer's Positively American
-Americans United for Change
-Empowering Veterans
-Vote Vets
-Electoral-Vote.com
-Memeorandum

Blog Roll
Senate 2008 Guru

-All Spin Zone
-AmericaBlog
-Atrios
-Bob Geiger
-Booman Tribune
-Campaign Diaries
-The Caucus (NY Times)
-Common Ground (DSCC)
-Congress Matters
-CQPolitics
-CQPolitics Eye on 2010
-Crooks and Liars
-Daily Kos
-The Democratic Daily
-Digby
-Down with Tyranny!
-Elect Blue
-Electile Dysfunction
-Firedoglake
-First Read (MSNBC)
-FiveThirtyEight.com
-The Fix (Washington Post)
-The Gavel (Speaker Pelosi)
-The Group News Blog
-Gun Toting Liberal
-Hotline Blogometer
-Hotline On Call
-The Huffington Post
-Kicking Ass (DNC)
-Left in the West
-Liberal Values
-Marc Ambinder
-MyDD
-Open Left
-The Plum Line (Greg Sargent)
-Political Animal
-Political Base
-The Political Carnival
-Political Ticker (CNN)
-Political Wire
-Politics1
-Progressive Blog Digest
-Progressive Blue
-Real Clear Politics Blog
-Real Clear Politics: Politics Nation
-The Rothenberg Political Report
-Scholars & Rogues
-Senatus
-The Stakeholder (DCCC)
-Swing State Project
-Talking Points Memo
-Think Progress
-VetVoice
-War Room (Salon)
-Wonkette

-43rd State Blues (ID)
-The Albany Project (NY)
-AZ Netroots (AZ)
-Barefoot and Progressive (KY)
-Bleeding Heartland (IA)
-Blogging Blue (WI)
-Blue Arkansas (AR)
-Blue Hampshire (NH)
-Blue Indiana (IN)
-Blue NC (NC)
-Blue Oklahoma (OK)
-Blue Oregon (OR)
-Buckeye State Blog (OH)
-Burnt Orange Report (TX)
-Calitics (CA)
-Celtic Diva's Blue Oasis (AK)
-Colorado Pols (CO)
-The Daily Gotham (NY)
-Delaware Liberal (DE)
-Daily Kingfish (LA)
-Ditch Mitch KY (KY)
-Doc's Political Parlor (AL)
-Fired Up! Missouri (MO)
-FLA Politics (FL)
-Forward Kansas (KS)
-Free State Politics (MD)
-Green Mountain Daily (VT)
-Horse's Ass Seattle (WA)
-Indigo Journal (SC)
-Kansas Jackass (KS)
-Left in Alabama (AL)
-Legum's New Line (MD)
-The Locust Fork Journal (AL)
-Maryland Politics Watch (MD)
-The MountainGoat Report (ID)
-My Left Nutmeg (CT)
-North Decoder (ND)
-Ohio Daily Blog (OH)
-The Pennsylvania Progressive (PA)
-Prarie State Blue (IL)
-Progress Illinois (IL)
-Progressive Alaska (AK)
-Public Policy Polling (NC)
-Red State Rebels (ID)
-Show Me Progress (MO)
-Square State (CO)
-Texas Kaos (TX)
-Tondee's Tavern (GA)
-Uppity Wisconsin (WI)
-The Wasatch Watcher (UT)
-Washblog (WA)


Cheering Them On
-Draft Coop (NC)
-Draft Elaine Marshall (NC)
-Draft Jane Kidd (GA)

Revealing Their Record
-Big Oil Blunt (MO)
-Carly FAILorina (CA)
-Cheating on the Truth (LA)
-Cut and Run Charlie Crist (FL)
-Dirty Deals Dino (WA)
-Doing a Vitter! The David Vitter Hypocrisy Watch (LA)
-Forgotten Crimes (LA)
-The Idiot Factor: Todd Tiahrt's Folly (KS)
-Mr. Portman's Make Believe Neighborhood (OH)
-Not One Red Cent (NRSC)
-Peter King Watch (NY)
-Puppet Jane Norton (CO)
-The REAL McCain (AZ)
-Republican Against Richard Burr (NC)
-Rob Portman: Architect of the Bush Economy (OH)
-Turncoat Trey (KY)
-Two-Faced Kirk (IL)
-Washington Insiders (MO)

YouTube Video Library

The Hall of Fame YouTube Political Video: George Allen and "Macaca"


On Republican Obstructionism


Republican Scandals of 2007


DSCC Chair Bob Menendez Says Hello


MO-Sen: Robin Carnahan Enters the Race


GA-Sen: Georgia can't afford Johnny Isakson


Google Ads

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Informative Widgets





Senate Guru

Gigantic End of Week Rundown

by: Senate Guru

Sat Dec 13, 2008 at 00:24 AM EST


  • Senate Republicans hurt working class families.  Period.  Meanwhile, among those who voted for the $700 billion financial services bailout, but against the $14 billion emergency loan to keep the American auto industry alive were 18 Republican Senators, including those up for re-election in 2010: Bob Bennett, R-UT; Richard Burr, R-NC; Tom Coburn, R-OK; Chuck Grassley, R-IA; Judd Gregg, R-NH; Johnny Isakson, R-GA; Mel Martinez, R-FL; John McCain, R-AZ; Lisa Murkowski, R-AK; and, John Thune, R-SD.  Did Judd Gregg learn nothing from John Sununu?!  (And, yes, it's very disappointing that Blanche Lincoln falls into this category, too.)

  • Shorter Senate GOP: We must slash working class wages!  But, talk about a windfall profits tax or even suggest that some CEOs' multi-million dollar paychecks (and bonuses and golden parachutes, etc.) are unwarranted, and you're a Communist.

  • Minnesota: On top of all of the good news Al Franken received today, it is announced that "in overwhelmingly Democratic Duluth - which has not officially tallied rejected absentees - about 40 percent of that city's 319 rejected absentee ballots were mistakenly rejected."  This could net Al Franken several dozen, maybe more than a hundred, additional votes.

  • Illinois: If a special election is held, Democratic Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky is ready to run and Republican Congresscritter Mark Kirk sounds like a typical, bile-spewing candidate for higher office.  However, this may be moot as the push for a special election may be "losing steam."  One reason for this may be the price tag for a special election exceeding $30 million for the cash-strapped state.  Another reason may be state Attorney General Lisa Madigan's plea to the state Supreme Court to oust corrupt Gov. Rod Blagojevich, obviously stripping him of his appointment power, be declaring him Constitutionally "unfit for office."  Simultaneously, to make sure all the bases are covered, Democratic state legislators are preparing possible impeachment proceedings against Blagojevich.

    Democratic Lieutenant Governor Pat Quinn has indicated that, if Blagojevich is removed from office, "his 'first assignment' would be appointing a successor to Barack Obama."  In the meantime, Blagojevich still retains appointment power and could name a successor at any time if he's crazy enough, though Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has indicated the the Senate would possibly refuse to seat an appointment made by Blagojevich.

  • Pennsylvania: Whether Pennsylvanians consider Republican Arlen Specter to be "moderate" or "conservative," one commonality he shares with most Senate Republicans is undeniable: Arlen Specter is a partisan obstructionist.  Meanwhile, MSNBC's Chris Matthews reportedly has through the holiday season to decide on continuing at MSNBC or running for Senate in 2010.

    Elsewhere, Research 2000 releases a wealth of polling data on PA-Sen.  Specter starts off at only 43% against potential Republican primary opponent Pat Toomey's 28%, with almost a third of respondents undecided.  This is a very bad starting-off point for Specter.  The poll also measures a Democratic primary including MSNBC's Matthews, Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz and Congressman Patrick Murphy.  It measures the Dems in a three-way race and in all three possible two-way permutations.  In no contest does any of the three break 30%, illustrating that a Democratic primary would start off as wide open. Further, when matching up Specter against each of the three possible Democratic primary competitors, Specter does not reach 50% in any match-up.

  • New York: Congresswoman Nydia Velazquez, my early pick to win the appointment to succeed Hillary Clinton in the U.S. Senate, is reportedly withdrawing from appointment consideration.

  • North Carolina: A new Public Policy Polling poll shows Republican Richard Burr's approve-disapprove at a lackluster 32-31.  Despite four years as U.S. Senator, one-third of North Carolinians apparently don't have strong feelings about Burr or simply don't know much about him.  Yet there is bigger news from the poll.  PPP matches Burr up against Democratic state Attorney General Roy Cooper (who PPP finds to have a significantly stronger 44-23 approve-disapprove).  In the PPP poll, Cooper leads Burr by 5 points, 39-34.  Time will tell if this is just the residual pro-Obama and anti-Dole glow or if North Carolina is truly shifting bluer.

    In related news, an effort to Draft Roy Cooper for U.S. Senate has sprung up.  The draft effort's blog gives a few reasons to the question "Why Roy Cooper?" including: his success as Attorney General, his ability to win statewide, and his effectiveness as a legislator, harkening back to his time in the North Caroline state Legislature.

  • Iowa: Very interesting results in the new Research 2000 poll.  While Republican incumbent Chuck Grassley sports a strong 57-36 approve-disapprove, Democratic Governor Tom Vilsack enjoys a nearly identical 55-36.  Similarly, in a hypothetical match-up, Grassley only leads Vilsack by the four-point margin of error, 48-44.  Meanwhile, the septuagenarian Grassley is only getting older, and Iowa is only getting bluer.  How long before a Draft Tom Vilsack effort springs up?

  • Ohio: A new Quinnipiac University poll further illustrates the vulnerability of Republican potential retiree George Voinovich.  In a match-up against "generic Democrat," it was a statistical dead heat, Voinovich 36, generic Democrat 35.  Only 44% of respondents said Voinovich deserved re-election and Voinovich's approval rating was a poor 39%.

  • Hawaii: We can call this a formal announcement.  Democratic Senator Daniel Inouye will run for re-election in 2010.  CQ Politics also notes that Democratic former Congressman Ed Case, who challenged Senator Daniel Akaka to a primary in 2004, supports Inouye's re-election, so no expected primary challenge there.  Republican Governor Linda Lingle is the only member of her Party with a prayer of making this race into anything approaching competitive.  New DSCC Chair Bob Menendez can rest a bit easier.

  • Texas: State Railroad Commission member Elizabeth Ames Jones is the first Republican to formally announce that she will run for the Senate seat currently held by Kay Bailey Hutchison, who may vacate it to focus on her gubernatorial bid.  Quick on her heels, former Texas Secretary of State (and currently a car salesman) Roger Williams announced that he would form an exploratory committee.  Jones and Williams join Democratic former state Comptroller John Sharp, the last Democrat to win a statewide office in Texas, as the only heretofore announced candidates.  Though unannounced, the Houston Chronicle is breaking that Houston Mayor Bill White, arguably the Democrats' strongest potential candidate, will announce next week that he will enter the Senate race if KBH resigns.  Stay tuned.

  • New Hampshire: Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter may be considering a 2010 Senate race against Republican Judd Gregg.

  • Kentucky: Please, please, please, Jim Bunning, go for it!  (Bunning 2010 is lookin' good!)  In other Bunning news, an invitation to Bunning to attend a business development forum in Michigan was rescinded after Bunning stuck it to Michigan workers with his opposition to the emergency loan to the American car companies.

  • Florida: Count young Republican Congresscritter Adam Putnam out of a 2010 Republican Senate primary.

  • Oklahoma: With his eyes set squarely on the Governor's office, count out Democratic state Attorney General Drew Edmondson from the 2010 Senate race.  As we await Republican incumbent Tom Coburn's decision on a re-election bid, we also hope current Democratic Governor Brad Henry, who is term-limited, might be interested.

  • Louisiana: Roll Call sees Louisiana's Republican Secretary of State, Jay Dardenne, taking his time on decision-making regarding a primary challenge to prostitute-lovin' David Vitter:

    The name mentioned most often for a primary challenge to Vitter is Secretary of State Jay Dardenne (R), who some Louisiana Republicans had hoped would challenge Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) this year. He didn't, but state Treasurer John Kennedy (R) did after switching parties in 2007. Landrieu ended up winning the race by a comfortable 6-point margin.

    This week Dardenne acknowledged that he is the subject of speculation about a primary bid against Vitter, and he said the talk has resulted "in a steady stream of calls and visits from people who have encouraged me to run."

    Dardenne, who did not attend Vitter's "Mardi Gras in December" event in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday night, said the encouragement he's received has come from friends and supporters in Louisiana rather than from individuals in Washington.

    But, for now at least, Dardenne said he's happy with his role as secretary of state and he doesn't have any timeframe in mind for making a decision about the Senate seat.

    "I haven't done anything to advance a candidacy for the U.S. Senate except listen to people who have encouraged me to run," he said.

    But some Louisiana insiders believe that if Dardenne decides to do more than just listen, the popular secretary of state could be as big of a threat to Vitter as any candidate that Democrats could put up in 2010.

    "If Jay Dardenne were to stand up and say we need better representation in Washington and he ran in a Republican primary, it would be tough for Vitter," Louisiana political columnist John Maginnis said this week. Maginnis said part of the interest in Dardenne may have come from disappointment by state Republicans over a missed opportunity in the 2008 Senate contest.

    Dardenne's highlighting of his "steady stream" of encouragement, be it actual or exaggerated, illustrates some degree of interest.  Go, Jay!  Go!  Meanwhile, is Vitter that dumb that he would name his fundraiser "Mardi Gras in December," Mardi Gras being an example of hedonistic excess and Vitter having visited prostitutes over the course of several years?  And Politico's Anne Schroeder Mullins thinks that "it's getting to the point where picking on Sen. David Vitter is not even fun anymore."  (She said that in response to Vitter using the word "ass" in a Senate floor speech.)  C'mon, Anne, it's still plenty fun - and very warranted.

  • Alaska: Ted Stevens is not just a convicted felon.  He's also a sore loser.

  • In determining if the Bush administration is more incompetent or more malevolent, score another point for incompetent.

  • Speaking of incompetent administrations, it looks like John W. McCain really wanted to follow in George W. Bush's footsteps.

  • The Center for Public Integrity's Broken Government project finds that "the eight-year tenure of the Bush administration was marked by more than 125 systematic failures across the breadth of the federal government."  And they have a very cool website.

  • Anybody who takes issue with President-elect Barack Obama including his middle name, Hussein, at his inauguration is un-American.

  • Anyone else find it ironic that soon-to-be-jailbird Republican Vito Fossella opposes a bailout?

  • I would have preferred an Oscar hosting return by Chris Rock.
  • Senate Guru :: Gigantic End of Week Rundown
    Tags: (All Tags)
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    IL US Senate Race.
    If Pat Quinn were to make an appointment for replacing Barack Obama- Any chance he'd appoint a caretaker like Emil Jones or Roland Burris. who will promise not to run for a full term in 2010 and let the Democrats who want to run for the US Senate- Madigan,Hynes,Schakowsky,Seals,and Duckworth face each other in the Primary.  

    Real Classy on Ted's part...
    So how many sore loser republicans who refuse to call to congratulate the winner does that make for this year?  

    Has Johnny called Jeanne yet?

    Has Marilyn Musgrove called Betsy Markey yet?

    Am I missing anyone?


    LA senate
    If Mitch Landrieu runs, will he have a problem because his sister is the other senator? Would Malecon or the new AG be better? Any thoughts?

    "Landrieu fatigue" is tough to gauge
    Senator Mary Landrieu just beat state Treasurer John Neely Kennedy 52-46, one year after the 2007 state election that saw Lieutenant Governor Mitch Landrieu score more votes (701,887) than gubernatorial victor Bobby Jindal got (699,275) on the exact same ballot.

    So, overall, I'd say that there is no over-arching Landrieu fatigue.

    That said, yeah, have both Landrieus potentially occupying both Senate seats is a very unique situation.  However, if Vitter and the Republicans, instead of running on the issues, ran on "Hey, that's too many Landrieus," it welcomes Democrats to disregard the issues and run on "Hey, Vitter's a family values hypocrite who cheated on his wife, his kids, Louisiana voters, and the law of the land by soliciting hookers."

    If the LA-GOP tries to play the distraction game, it will only burn them.  Doesn't mean they won't do it, though, especially if Vitter gets a primary election challenge from, for instance, Family Research Council President Tony Perkins, who would be sure to highlight Vitter's deviance from "family values conservatism" frequently, watering down its impact for the general election.


    [ Parent ]
    Thanks
    for the insight Guru. It makes sense to me. We have to beat Vitter, he's such a creep. Would Melacon leave his safe seat to challenge Vitter? There are so many variables in that state.

    [ Parent ]
    Melancon is a possibility
    I think Melancon is interested - he's just going to take his time to feel out the dynamics.  He won't sacrifice his House seat if polling data isn't promising.  But if media outlets release attractive polling and, especially, if Vitter gets a tough primary challenger, we might see Melancon start making comments publicly hinting at interest in a race.

    [ Parent ]
    Potential LA candidates:
    Walter Boasso
    John Breaux
    Foster Campbell
    James C. "Buddy" Caldwell
    Paul Carmouche
    Don Cazayoux
    Don Cravins Jr.
    Charles C. Foti
    Jim Harlan
    Richard Ieyoub
    Michael Jackson(State Representative)
    Chris John
    Andy Kopplin
    Mitch Landireu
    Charlie Melancon

    Check out my sites-http://conservativestateproject.blogspot.com/
    http://2010garacetracker.wetpa...
    http://oldrockbands.wetpaint.com/


    [ Parent ]
    You left off
    Shaw Group CEO Jim Bernhard (as suggested by Gambit Weekly).

    [ Parent ]
    Sorry,
    I've never even heard of the guy, so I couldn't have been able to put that guy on my list.

    Check out my sites-http://conservativestateproject.blogspot.com/
    http://2010garacetracker.wetpa...
    http://oldrockbands.wetpaint.com/


    [ Parent ]
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